I wrote about Sweden on April 1st, 2020: https://lwgat.blogspot.com/2020/04/coronavirus-swedens-nearly-twice-us.html wondering about their "open" no lock down approach.
I wrote again about them April 15th, 2020 about how Sweden was doing better Michigan on Covid19 cases: https://lwgat.blogspot.com/2020/04/coronavirus-epic-swedish-michigan-fail.html
Now, twenty days after the first blog post we see this: https://www.dailywire.com/news/swedens-chief-epidemiologist-our-open-approach-to-virus-seems-to-be-working
From the most recent article:
"The chief epidemiologist and top strategist for the Swedish government dealing with the coronavirus crisis, who championed the effort in Sweden to avoid a nationwide lockdown to deal with the issue, noted the slowing growth of new coronavirus cases in his country, saying that the numbers of people who had contracted the virus had slowed the growth of spreading the disease." [ underline mine ]
"Anders Tegnell stated, “According to our modelers, we are starting to see so many immune people in the population in Stockholm that it is starting to have an effect on the spread of the infection. Our models point to some time in May.” Acknowledging the roughly 1,500 people who have died in his country as well as the 14,385 people in Sweden who have tested positive for coronavirus, Tegnell said the situation “is not a failure for the overall strategy. It is a failure to protect our elderly who live in care homes,” as the New York Daily News reported."
Michigan, with roughly the same population as Sweden but using the "lock down" strategy, has about 2,500 deaths (about 66% more).
Clearly a life saving strategy as compared to Michigan.
"On Friday, Karin Tegmark Wisell, head of the microbiology department at Sweden’s Public Health Authority, said, “The trend we have seen in recent days, with a more flat curve — where we have many new cases, but not a daily increase — is stabilizing. We are seeing the same pattern for patients in intensive care.”
HSBC Global Research economist James Pomeroy added, “While Sweden’s unwillingness to lock down the country could ultimately prove to be ill-judged, for now, if the infection curve flattens out soon, the economy could be better placed to rebound.”
Matches up well with Dr. Frank's Models on Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/groups/158015618707622/post_tags/?post_tag_id=162319508277233):
"Bloomberg News reported that there were other factors that may have contributed to Sweden’s seeming success in dealing with the coronavirus issue: “ … the Swedish approach has drawn considerable interest around the world. Part of that approach relies on having access to one of the world’s best-functioning health-care systems. At no stage did Sweden see a real shortage of medical equipment or hospital capacity, and tents set up as emergency care facilities around the country have mostly remained empty.”
This last quote is, of course, disingenuous.
Today the WSJ is indicating up at 1.5 million "non-essential" health care professionals could be laid off (https://www.wsj.com/articles/sending-hospitals-into-bankruptcy-11587326607?mod=hp_opin_pos_3).
Why?
Nothing to do at the hospitals...
EDIT: Similar thoughts being reported in Germany:
https://www.meinbezirk.at/niederoesterreich/c-politik/modell-schweden-zur-bewaeltigung-der-coronakrise-erfolgreich_a4033593?fbclid=IwAR1d35NkAIjcuMtaEfSGpaEQMpZIGkm-pSaQleSOn0Rfm1EuWTsaYPi4Hxc
I wrote again about them April 15th, 2020 about how Sweden was doing better Michigan on Covid19 cases: https://lwgat.blogspot.com/2020/04/coronavirus-epic-swedish-michigan-fail.html
Now, twenty days after the first blog post we see this: https://www.dailywire.com/news/swedens-chief-epidemiologist-our-open-approach-to-virus-seems-to-be-working
From the most recent article:
"The chief epidemiologist and top strategist for the Swedish government dealing with the coronavirus crisis, who championed the effort in Sweden to avoid a nationwide lockdown to deal with the issue, noted the slowing growth of new coronavirus cases in his country, saying that the numbers of people who had contracted the virus had slowed the growth of spreading the disease." [ underline mine ]
"Anders Tegnell stated, “According to our modelers, we are starting to see so many immune people in the population in Stockholm that it is starting to have an effect on the spread of the infection. Our models point to some time in May.” Acknowledging the roughly 1,500 people who have died in his country as well as the 14,385 people in Sweden who have tested positive for coronavirus, Tegnell said the situation “is not a failure for the overall strategy. It is a failure to protect our elderly who live in care homes,” as the New York Daily News reported."
Michigan, with roughly the same population as Sweden but using the "lock down" strategy, has about 2,500 deaths (about 66% more).
Clearly a life saving strategy as compared to Michigan.
"On Friday, Karin Tegmark Wisell, head of the microbiology department at Sweden’s Public Health Authority, said, “The trend we have seen in recent days, with a more flat curve — where we have many new cases, but not a daily increase — is stabilizing. We are seeing the same pattern for patients in intensive care.”
HSBC Global Research economist James Pomeroy added, “While Sweden’s unwillingness to lock down the country could ultimately prove to be ill-judged, for now, if the infection curve flattens out soon, the economy could be better placed to rebound.”
Matches up well with Dr. Frank's Models on Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/groups/158015618707622/post_tags/?post_tag_id=162319508277233):
"Bloomberg News reported that there were other factors that may have contributed to Sweden’s seeming success in dealing with the coronavirus issue: “ … the Swedish approach has drawn considerable interest around the world. Part of that approach relies on having access to one of the world’s best-functioning health-care systems. At no stage did Sweden see a real shortage of medical equipment or hospital capacity, and tents set up as emergency care facilities around the country have mostly remained empty.”
This last quote is, of course, disingenuous.
Today the WSJ is indicating up at 1.5 million "non-essential" health care professionals could be laid off (https://www.wsj.com/articles/sending-hospitals-into-bankruptcy-11587326607?mod=hp_opin_pos_3).
Why?
Nothing to do at the hospitals...
EDIT: Similar thoughts being reported in Germany:
https://www.meinbezirk.at/niederoesterreich/c-politik/modell-schweden-zur-bewaeltigung-der-coronakrise-erfolgreich_a4033593?fbclid=IwAR1d35NkAIjcuMtaEfSGpaEQMpZIGkm-pSaQleSOn0Rfm1EuWTsaYPi4Hxc
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