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Friday, September 3, 2021

Covid: The Trend is Not Your Freind

From: https://c19vitaminc.com/ (as of 9/3/21) - see below
If you play the stock market you might hear the phrase "The trend is your friend."  And from this: "If there is one thing we can count on, investors and traders are very predictable. The bulls continue to ride the momentum higher and are probably heading for some sort of destructive ending. The bears fight the trend and the tape, losing opportunity after opportunity when it appears the market is ready to break." (Underline mine.)
Comfort is something found in many professional fields. 

Medicine, for example.  Nothing makes clearer that the story of H. pylori - the bacteria now associated with ulcers and effectively treated with antibiotics.

From the time H. pylori was discovered as a cause of ulcers until a specific antibiotic cocktail was widely accepted as a "cure" was about two decades.

Yes, two decades.

You can read the a very well written version of the story here.

Specifically: "While some researchers maintain the role of stress, a 1998 article in the British Medical Journal suggests that "psychosomatic factors in the aetiology of peptic ulcer have become unfashionable since the discovery of Helicobacter pylori". These authors hint that trends, not scientific rigor, influence etiologies. Still, while many scientists were slow to accept Marshall's discovery twenty years ago, today most doctors regard ulcer management as greatly improved thanks to Marshall and Warren's discovery."

Underline mine: Doctors follow the "trend" and not scientific rigor.

Like traders, its easy for doctors and nurses to follow the trend and not "scientific rigor."


Reading this article you you'll discover "The impact [of Covid] on our health care system is also difficult to quantify. Staffing, even more than beds or ventilators, is critically low."

Yet according to the AP there is an enormous glut of ventilators.  And not only was there a glut but "... by the time the new machines were being delivered to the stockpile in the early summer, most doctors were moving away from the widespread use of ventilators in all but the most critically ill COVID-19 patients due to high death rates for those put on the machines."

So what's going on here?  

Why aren't there enough ventilators?

Why are we even using the ventilators?

Perhaps the author of The Conversation article linked above is following a trend.

The wrong trend.

Still treating patients like its April of 2020...

Modern technology allows everyone to see, in real time, no less, what treatment options are available and how well they work.

For example: https://c19vitaminc.com/ shows interactively the current research outcomess on Aspirin, Bamlanivimab, Bromhexine, Budesonide, Casirivimab, Colchicine, Curcumin, Favipiravir, Fluvoxamine, Hydroxychloroquine, Iota-carragee.., Ivermectin, Melatonin, Molnupiravir, Nigella Sativa, Nitazoxanide, Povidone-Iod.., Probiotics, Proxalutamide, Quercetin, Remdesivir, Sotrovimab, Vitamin C, Vitamin D, and Zinc.

Given this knowledge one would not expect to see ventilator use in any but the most extreme cases that did not respond to any of the treatments listed above.

So again, why are we using ventilators?

Because of a trend?

Maybe the "trend" is not you friend...

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