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Sunday, May 17, 2020

Coronavirus: Georgia's Early ReOpening "Human Sacrifice?"

A few weeks ago I wrote how government and health care workers were responsible for Covid deaths (https://lwgat.blogspot.com/2020/04/coronavirus-real-angles-of-death.html).

About the same time this article appeared in "The Atlantic:" Georgia’s Experiment in Human Sacrifice - The state is about to find out how many people need to lose their lives to shore up the economy (link: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/why-georgia-reopening-coronavirus-pandemic/610882/)...



Human sacrifice...

(Remember this was published April 30, 2020 - probably reflecting information from a few days earlier.)

First let's look at the facts from Gerogia (snapshot from today): https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report (see "Deaths" under "Georgia Cases by County"):


As you can see there is a steep decline in death over the last few weeks indicating a distinct lack of "human sacrifice." (Note recent cases are dimmed due to confirmation - these are estimates based on death reports not given time to "settle.")

Modeling (from Dr. Frank Models on Facebook) indicates the same:


A bit further down on Georgia's page we see "Demographics" - if you select the "Healthcare Workers" tab you will find this chart:


So these are confirmed "Covid" cases by people working in health care.

What do you see?

The cases have been reduced to near zero, and well ahead of the "general population" cases.

If over-all Covid cases in the general population were driving the "Healthcare Workers" infection rate we should see it continue to rise.  (Pick March 16th, for example, where both general population and healthcare worker rates are rising, comparing we see a vast decline in May in health care infection rates even though over all cases are much higher.)

We see Covid declining.

We also know anecdotally that some 10% of Georgia's healthcare workers have Covid (for example: https://www.wabe.org/10-of-confirmed-covid-19-cases-in-georgia-are-among-health-care-workers/).  This is probably low because there is no reason to test people that appear to be healthy.

(As compared to Pennsylvania nursing home cases make up a much lower percentage of cases in Georgia, perhaps 25% according to this : https://www.13wmaz.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/assisted-living-facilities-make-up-big-portion-of-central-georgia-virus-cases/93-cf15b72e-068d-40a7-98e5-0a122948c5a0)

So if general population is not driving the healthcare worker rates perhaps it's the other way around:  Healthcare workers were driving the cases in the general population. It would seem that as Georgia figured this out and pushed down the infection rate of their healthcare worker population the case load in the general population declines.

If the healthcare workers were "just like" the general population we would expect their caseload to decline in sync.  But it doesn't.  It declines faster.

This "human sacrifice"nonsense is total, utter idiocy!

You'll die if you are older, have comorbidity factors and in close contact with someone who has it, like a healthcare worker.

If states like Pennsylvania had any notion at all of "real science" it would see the same thing.

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